The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note climbed on Wednesday after two straight days of declines, as economic data failed to reinforce recent hopes the U.S. Federal Reserve might pivot to a less hawkish policy stance.
The gathering consensus that inflation has peaked is spurring a FOMO moment for bonds, with investors eager to buy and chatter that 10-year Treasury yields could drop all the way back to 2%. That sort of Treasuries rally is unlikely unless China’s slowdown worsens.
It’s too soon to call an end to America’s worst bond-market collapse in at least half a century. Treasuries resumed losses on Thursday with 30-year yields climbing to the highest in nearly eight years, spurring steeper yield curves — a sign of investors bracing for further inflation flare-ups.