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Newsfeed: Bonds are in the midst of their worst crash since 1949, and the fallout could unravel some of the market’s most crowded trades, Bank of America says

Newsfeed: Bonds are in the midst of their worst crash since 1949, and the fallout could unravel some of the market’s most crowded trades, Bank of America says

The unraveling of the bond market will continue to batter stocks over the coming months, according to a Friday note from Bank of America. Bonds are experiencing their worst decline since 1949 as interest rates soar amid a global central bank campaign to fight inflation. The US Aggregate Bond ETF is down 15% year-to-date, while global bonds are down even more.

Newsfeed: Bonds are in the midst of their worst crash since 1949, and the fallout could unravel some of the market’s most crowded trades, Bank of America says Read More »

Newsfeed: US housing market bloodbath: Prices will collapse by up to 20% because sector is already in recession – sparked by Bidenflation – and it will soon spread to rest of the economy, expert warns

Newsfeed: US housing market bloodbath: Prices will collapse by up to 20% because sector is already in recession – sparked by Bidenflation – and it will soon spread to rest of the economy, expert warns

Record-high housing prices in the US could collapse by up to 20 percent over the next year if a recession sparked by Joe Biden’s inflation takes hold, a top Wall Street economist has warned.

Newsfeed: US housing market bloodbath: Prices will collapse by up to 20% because sector is already in recession – sparked by Bidenflation – and it will soon spread to rest of the economy, expert warns Read More »

Newsfeed: Jerome Powell just warned that the US housing market needs a ‘difficult correction’ so that folks can afford homes again ⁠— but here’s why it’ll look nothing like 2008

Newsfeed: Jerome Powell just warned that the US housing market needs a ‘difficult correction’ so that folks can afford homes again ⁠— but here’s why it’ll look nothing like 2008

Real estate investors have largely done well for the past few years. But with higher interest rates, things could be about to change. The U.S. Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rates by 0.75 basis points on Wednesday, marking the third such hike in a row.

Newsfeed: Jerome Powell just warned that the US housing market needs a ‘difficult correction’ so that folks can afford homes again ⁠— but here’s why it’ll look nothing like 2008 Read More »

Newsfeed: US Consumer Prices Blow Away Expectations, Rise For 27th Straight Month

Newsfeed: US Consumer Prices Blow Away Expectations, Rise For 27th Straight Month

Expectations for a 0.1% MoM drop in CPI has set the squeeze-algos on fire in recent days as the small drop signals ‘peak inflation’ and goldilocks and a unicorn-filled Fed will step back and declare victory (with a lag). Short-term interest-rates – however – have not been buying that dovish story, so how the market reacts to today’s print will be fascinating given the technical background of extreme negative delta and positioning, and now momentum. The market was pricing in a 90% chance of a 75bps hike by The Fed next week ahead of the CPI print.

Newsfeed: US Consumer Prices Blow Away Expectations, Rise For 27th Straight Month Read More »

Newsfeed: We’re in a ‘housing recession,’ experts say. Here’s what that means for homeowners, sellers and buyers

Newsfeed: We’re in a ‘housing recession,’ experts say. Here’s what that means for homeowners, sellers and buyers

Just months ago, the housing market remained in overdrive: surging home prices, historically low interest rates and unrelenting demand. However, data now suggests to some experts that the market is in a “housing recession.”

Newsfeed: We’re in a ‘housing recession,’ experts say. Here’s what that means for homeowners, sellers and buyers Read More »

Newsfeed: ‘The real mortgage rate is a negative number.’ As inflation stubbornly remains high, do current mortgage rates look better than they seem?

Newsfeed: ‘The real mortgage rate is a negative number.’ As inflation stubbornly remains high, do current mortgage rates look better than they seem?

I write about mortgage rates every week, but recently, I’ve heard some sources chattering about what’s called the “real mortgage rate.” In a nutshell, this is the interest rate on mortgages minus the current inflation rate. “With inflation running so high right now, even though mortgage rates have risen, the real mortgage rate is a negative number,” says Kate Wood, home expert at NerdWallet. When the CPI was at 9.1%, for example, “if you had a mortgage with a 5% interest rate, your real mortgage rate is -4.1%,” she says. (See the lowest mortgage rates you can get here.)

Newsfeed: ‘The real mortgage rate is a negative number.’ As inflation stubbornly remains high, do current mortgage rates look better than they seem? Read More »

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