Chaos and Opportunity in the New Decade

We’re entering a new decade full speed ahead! But we have to be on the lookout for investment landmines. 

Problems and instability are nothing new … every generation must face them. That’s why we are discussing chaos and opportunity. 

We sat down with Dr. Chris Martenson from Peak Prosperity to take a look at what’s going on at the ever-so-important Federal Reserve … and what it means for real estate investors like YOU. 

In this episode of The Real Estate Guys™ show, hear from:

• Your reserved host, Robert Helms
• His fed-up co-host, Russell Gray
• Co-founder of Peak Prosperity, Dr. Chris Martenson

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Finding the flipside of chaos

We’re facing a brand new decade … and it’s a great time to be alive!

But there’s also turmoil and chaos and opportunity. How do we make sense of any of it?

As real estate investors, we operate in a system … and that system is a financial system. It’s also a political system … and some of it is mechanical while some is emotional. 

The system is affected by how people are responding to what’s going on in the world … namely the instability of the financial system. 

Statistically, a recession should be hitting the United States of America at any time. 

There’s record debt around the world. The Fed is doing things it has never done before … and at a scale that has never been done before. There is also geopolitical unrest that affects the economy. 

Even the lowliest main street real estate investors need to pay attention because these things can affect credit markets and interest rates … two things real estate investors rely on. 

But anytime there is chaos, you get the flipside … and the flipside is opportunity. 

Printing money like crazy

Dr. Chris Martenson is a PhD. He’s a scientist … and really just a brilliant guy. 

As the co-founder of Peak Prosperity, Chris makes the point that you can’t continue to base your decisions on a never-ending increase when we live on a planet of finite resources. 

“It’s going to be an interesting year,” Chris says. 

Our world today is a world of buy-in for the central bankers. They got themselves into a lot of trouble with the bubble back in 2000, and they bailed themselves out. 

That gave us the housing bubble … which, of course, blew up. 

We got back down to 0% rates … but this time it was globally coordinated. All the central bankers had this emergency … but it never went away. 

There was a little dip in stock prices in 2011, and that scared them again. So … more money was printed. 

Then there was a little emergency in 2013 because stocks were going to go down again and … oops … more printing.

Most people aren’t aware of this, but the largest printing in the series took place in 2016 and 2017 … they were still printing at an emergency level. 

That leaves people like Chris asking, “What’s the emergency?”

The emergency seems to be that the central banks never want to let markets move backward … which naturally they do and then move forward again. 

The result is constant inflation … an amazing amount of money printing … and not just US dollars. Virtually, all the central banks are printing like crazy. 

When the Federal Reserve was established in 1913, it was established by an act of Congress. 

It’s not a federal institution, even though it’s called the Federal Reserve. It is a private banking cartel that has a government-sponsored entity. 

Similar to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac … you wonder, is it the government or is it private? And it’s kind of both. 

The issue is that the Federal Reserve is now directly monetizing US government debt. Our central bank is directly monetizing debt, and nobody’s talking about. 

The question we have to ask ourselves as investors is why? Why does the Fed feel like it has to be buying what amounts to 40% of all new government debt coming hot off the presses?

We’re being told that markets are stable, stocks are rising, and that the bond markets are quiet. But that’s not the story underneath it all. 

The Fed is eventually not going to be able to do enough to keep things afloat … but it’s inflate or die. That’s what the Fed is afraid of. 

What can you do?

As real estate investors, our product is based on the ability to borrow. 

Certainly, you can buy real estate free and clear … but the fact that you can leverage real estate is one of its biggest attractions. 

Now, nobody knows how much things are actually worth, which makes it difficult to plan and make wise decisions. 

How do you protect yourself?

“Get out of that paper money game, and make sure you’re really tight on the hard assets game,” Chris says. 

You can also make sure your cash flows are good and that you have a bit of a buffer … don’t ride things out on the edge. 

Buy in prime places only. Now isn’t the time to take a chance on a strip mall far from the city center. 

You can’t do much about what your nation intends to do about growing its debts faster than its income … but you can personally understand that those actions are going to impact you at some point. 

Develop multiple income streams. You don’t want to be that person who has only got a single paycheck. 

And don’t forget about social capital. Your relationships can really be an asset for you in tough times. 

By doing so, you can prepare yourself to be in a better position when chaos comes … and be ready to take advantage of the opportunities that come with it. 

For more ideas from Dr. Chris Martenson … listen in to our full episode. 

More From The Real Estate Guys™…

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The Real Estate Guys™ radio show and podcast provides real estate investing news, education, training, and resources to help real estate investors succeed.

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Podcast: Paradise in Your Portfolio – Exploring the Resort Market of Belize

Podcast: Chaos and Opportunity in the New Decade

Top Real Estate Trends for 2020

Well, hello … 2020! 

It’s a new year and a new decade … and it’s a TERRIFIC time to talk about the top trends in real estate investing. 

Many factors are affecting the path real estate is heading down this year … demographics, economics, technology, politics, energy, and interest rates. 

So sit back and take note … these are the top trends in real estate in 2020. 

In this episode of The Real Estate Guys™ show, hear from:

• Your trending host, Robert Helms
• His trendy co-host, Russell Gray

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Trends in single family homes

Today we’re going to focus on some of the top trends that experts are predicting for 2020 in real estate. 

Real estate markets are diverse and always changing. On the demand side, the way that people interact and use real estate is essentially the same … but nuances change and create opportunities for investors. 

On the supply side … we have whatever we have built at this moment and the plans that developers and builders have to put more inventory into the ground. 

When it comes to real estate, you’re always looking at supply and demand and the flow of people and money. 

Let’s start with Realtor.com and its housing market predictions for 2020. Remember that these predictions have to do with single family homes. 

The National Association of Realtors is calling a 4.8 percent growth in home prices and a 1.8 percent decrease in existing home sales. 

That’s a modest growth in price and less sales for a variety of reasons. 

If we stopped right there, you might say that it doesn’t sound like a great real estate market to be in … BUT we’re not stopping there. 

To us, these predictions mean that most of the opportunities are going to come in niches .. and we’ll dive into that later. 

But keeping with the big picture, nobody is predicting a huge rise in interest rates … they’ll probably stay consistent. And overall, mortgage rates will remain low. 

That’s good for a couple of reasons. 

Obviously, to acquire property with leverage, you’d like to see a low interest rate. And if you already have a property with higher interest rates, your properties have better profiles today. 

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) also ranks markets that they see as having a potential increase in growth … both in sales and in price. 

The number one market that they chose only has 0.3 percent growth in sales projected … but 8.1 percent projected in price growth. 

That market is Boise, Idaho. 

Other markets that made the top 10 include Tucson, Arizona; Columbia, South Carolina; Colorado Springs, Colorado; and Memphis, Tennessee. 

Along with growing markets, the NAR predicts which markets will decline in both sales prices and number of sales. 

Those markets include Chicago, Dallas, Las Vegas, Miami, and San Francisco. 

The NAR said that the offset of the decrease in demand in some areas is that there will be new housing starts. 

In fact, according to Fannie Mae’s economic and strategic research group, new home starts will jump from a 1 percent increase in 2019 to nearly 10 percent in 2020. 

Niches that make sense

One trend that we have been talking about for some time is senior housing. 

The demographics are undeniable … look at how powerful the baby boomer generation is moving through all phases of their economic life … and now they’re entering their senior season. 

Anything related to seniors is going to probably be pretty solid for the next couple of decades. 

You hit a season of life where you need some special assistance and accommodations. 

There are lots of places to play … from the 55 and older communities to assisted living and residential assisted living to skilled nursing and memory care facilities. 

There is demand here that will be exceeding supply … and you don’t have to be a rocket scientist to recognize the signs. 

The next niche has some overlap when it comes to seniors … and that’s multifamily.

Multifamily has been huge in terms of demand for many years, and that’s been both good and bad … the bad part is that we’ve had a lot of money chasing a particular set of increasing assets. 

There has been a demand for multifamily on the tenant side and on the investor side … and on the investor side, the demand has meant a decrease in return. 

For 2020, we anticipate growth to be in the niches within multifamily .. like 55 and over apartment campuses or millennials looking for micro apartments. 

Micro apartments are small apartments that cater to younger tenants … usually fairly affordable … in city centers with unique amenities like shared workspaces. 

Another great trend … and one of our favorite niches … is resort property. 

This is a wide niche … but we tend to like the higher end as opposed to spring break on the cheap. 

It’s hard to go out and buy a 400 room hotel … but there are other ways that people are investing in resort properties. 

Some will allow you to own an individual unit that operates as part of a big resort or a hotel. There’s also the segment of vacation rentals in condos or single family homes. 

Not your cup of tea? Maybe take a look at agriculture instead. 

There are so many opportunities to come alongside successful operators in this space and invest offshore. 

The great thing about agriculture is that the underlying industry is probably not going anywhere … every human and animal needs to eat. 

The population is growing … and we are going to need more food. 

Take care with trends

Looking for real estate investment trends can reveal great opportunities. 

The only caveat … and this is true of any property that is use or trend specific … is that if that trend or use changes, it can be hard to repurpose. 

Anytime you are investing in a trend, you want to make sure it’s a trend that has some longevity to it. 

And remember that anytime a niche gets hot … it gets CROWDED. So, the earlier you adopt it, the better. 

For on 2020 real estate trends … listen in to the full episode!

More From The Real Estate Guys™…

• Sign up for The Real Estate Guys™ Free Newsletter
• Check out all the great free info in our Special Reports library.
• Don’t miss an episode of The Real Estate Guys™ radio show. Subscribe on iTunes or Android or YouTube!
• Stay connected with The Real Estate Guys™ on Facebook,  and our Feedback page.

The Real Estate Guys™ radio show and podcast provides real estate investing news, education, training, and resources to help real estate investors succeed.

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Getting Off to a Great Start in the New Year

The start of a brand-new year is a great time to reflect on lessons learned and make bold plans for the future. 

It doesn’t matter if you’re just starting out or starting over … the possibilities are endless!

We’re sharing practical tips for getting off to a great start in this new year … and new decade. 

In this episode of The Real Estate Guys™ show, hear from:

• Your practical host, Robert Helms
• His practical joker co-host, Russell Gray

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Vision, Mission, and Values

For our last show of the decade, we’re going to talk about how you can gear up and prosper in a brand-new year. 

When you have clarity of vision, strategy and tactics become evident. 

We all want to know how to make money in real estate … but sometimes the true vision isn’t that clear. 

It’s a great time in history to be thinking about clarity of vision because we’re entering 2020 … and we all want to see with 2020 vision. 

So, today we are talking about how you can figure out how to go from where you are to where you want to go. It starts with getting a vision in your mind of what success looks like for you. 

Anytime we have a challenge or an uncertainty, we sit down and ask ourselves … what is the vision? What are we trying to accomplish? What is the why?

You only have so much. You only have so much energy. You only have so many resources. You only have so much focus … so you need to know what to say yes to AND what to say no to. 

If you can get a clear vision … and articulate that vision to other people … then everyone knows what they need to do without micromanaging. 

On the other hand … if you lay the ladder of success against the wrong building, you’re going to get to the top, look around, and realize you are in the wrong place. 

Your vision isn’t peripheral to your investing … It’s fundamental. It’s the foundation of everything you do. 

Vision, mission, and values are three different things … but together they can really chart your course. 

As we said before, vision is what success looks like in very clear terms. Mission isn’t about what success looks like … it’s the why behind what you do. 

Mission is the reason what you are doing matters. 

The best missions … in our experience … are those that are about making a difference for the better. 

This could be with your community, or for a spouse, for your children, for your friends, for your employees … if you get up every day and are motivated to support someone else and make the world better … that’s a mission. 

Values are really about the methodologies … what you’re willing to do and what you are not willing to do. 

A great exercise is to sit down and come up with the six top values in your life … the things that really matter to you in life. 

Stephen Covey says that highly effective people begin with the end in mind … all of these things help you do that. 

Today, we’re going to give you some tools that you can use to actually get to where you want to go. 

Start, Stop, Continue

One of our favorite tools is what we call Start, Stop, Continue. 

Simply put … at the end of the year, you step back and look at the year and see everything you’ve done and ask, “What are the things that I should continue doing?”

This could be a particular area, market, or partner that has served you well. 

Then, you have to ask, “What are the things that I need to stop?” Maybe it’s the way you spend your time or a personal or business partnership. Maybe it’s a market that you need to get out of. 

After you have decided what will continue and what will stop, it’s time to ask, “What should I start doing?”

These could be new habits, new beliefs, new partnerships, new markets, new product types, new activities, or new people.

This is an exercise that requires you take time, sit down, and confront the brutal facts. 

There may be things you are doing every week that aren’t serving you well … and these aren’t necessarily bad things. 

Sometimes you have to say no to the good in order to say yes to the great. 

If you’re busy … like most successful people are … you don’t have a lot of extra time. So, you have to make room in your schedule either through delegation or by removing items from your docket. 

You can’t really create more time … but you can leverage time. 

Once you have determined how to bring more good energy into your life, you need to create a productive structure to get it done. 

Then, you establish clear goals, strategies, and action plans because you can allocate them into the structure. 

Zero-based Thinking 

The next tool in our arsenal is something we learned from Brian Tracy many years ago. It’s called zero-based thinking. 

The question you ask yourself is, “Knowing what I know now, what would I do differently?”

Knowing what I know now would I get into this relationship? Knowing what I know now would I get into this particular deal? Knowing what I know now would I get into this marketplace?

And if the answer to any of those things is “no,” now is the time to change your course. 

Maybe your accountant isn’t that great … but they’ve been your accountant for so long you just haven’t ever really considered leaving. Now may be the time. 

Sometimes what you find yourself looking at is a personal relationship. If there are people in your life that don’t affect you in a positive way, it’s time to cut ties. 

Zero-based thinking only works if you are willing to be brutally honest with yourself. You have to admit your mistakes. 

But if you can, you can set yourself up for your best year yet. 

For more tools for getting off to a great start … listen in to the full episode!

More From The Real Estate Guys™…

• Sign up for The Real Estate Guys™ Free Newsletter
• Check out all the great free info in our Special Reports library.
• Don’t miss an episode of The Real Estate Guys™ radio show. Subscribe on iTunes or Android or YouTube!
• Stay connected with The Real Estate Guys™ on Facebook,  and our Feedback page.

The Real Estate Guys™ radio show and podcast provides real estate investing news, education, training, and resources to help real estate investors succeed.

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Podcast: Top Real Estate Trends for 2020

Low Vacancy and No Deferred Maintenance with Build to Rent

Vacancy is the enemy of real estate investment. But no fear!

You can invest in a property with zero deferred maintenance and a whole lot of attraction to tenants. 

Smart builders are helping real estate investors dramatically reduce the risk of vacancy and expensive repairs. 

Listen in as we chat with a man who is creating build to rent properties in some of the best rental markets in the United States … and see what opportunities await investors like YOU.  

In this episode of The Real Estate Guys™ show, hear from:

• Your helpful host, Robert Helms
• His deferring co-host, Russell Gray
• From Fourplex Investment Group, Steve Olson

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Discover build to rent

Today we’re going to talk about an interesting niche within real estate. 

More and more, we’re seeing builders who don’t build property to sell to an owner occupant … they’re selling to investors instead. 

It’s called build to rent. 

With millennials fighting student debt and not forming households or buying property as soon in their life, it’s a great time to get into the rental game. 

We’ve dabbled in this niche ourselves … though it wasn’t firmly established at the time. 

We’d catch a builder in a phase of development and say, “What if we came in and bought the rest of your inventory?”

It was a real win-win. The developer no longer had to question which properties would sell … and investors could get inventory that they otherwise wouldn’t. 

The tenants benefitted too. They got to move into these brand new, beautiful properties. 

As the niche has grown, it has only become better. 

Now, you have builders building with the landlord and the tenant in mind … which means you can do some value engineering that maybe you wouldn’t do if you were selling to owner occupants. 

All of this means bringing product at a more competitive price … which means a better ROI. 

Our guest today is Steve Olson of Fourplex Investment Group (FIG). FIG builds brand new fourplexes in a variety of markets … ready for investors to swoop in and swoop up profits. 

Creating a valuable niche

The days of buying a home for less than it costs to build are gone. In many cases, developers, builders, and investors are finding that it’s more economically viable to just build new. 

If you want to be in the investment property business … you’ve got to find somewhere to get inventory … and you have to look at shifts in the marketplace. 

Two major demographic shifts are happening. 

One, baby boomers are looking for something more convenient … a managed community with some amenities to it. 

Two, millennials are more likely to rent than to buy … homeownership is getting more expensive, and many of them have a distaste for it. 

So, people want to live in these build to rent properties … you just have to pick the right markets. 

“More importantly, I think, you need to pick the right sub-markets within those solid markets. You’ve got to get to know the neighborhoods,” Steve says. 

And when you are building to rent, you’ve got to be able to look out at the horizon and be confident that there will be tenants in the area in 18 months … or more … however long it takes to get property standing. 

Steve and the team at FIG build brand new fourplex units … beautiful homes that are attached and have parking. 

They are an upscale rental … built in communities that allow them to offer amenities and services. 

“The idea is that we have to balance two worlds. We have a bunch of different investors but the feeling of a cohesive community. We do this by creating uniform standards through an HOA,” Steve says. 

As far as the tenant knows, they’re in a townhome complex or apartment complex. They have amenities. There is a property manager they report to … the same experience across the board. 

HOAs aren’t always popular … but that’s usually because homeowners are too busy to be bothered to come to meetings and be involved. 

Investors aren’t like that. 

Owners that are investors are very interested in the long-term health and viability of the complex. 

This type of investment is especially suited for someone who thinks a little more long term. The average investor doesn’t come in, buy a fourplex, and flip it to another guy in a year. 

With FIG’s approach, there is a certain amount of value engineering that can take place. 

“We deliver units cheaper than almost anybody I know of, but you have to strike a balance so you aren’t paying for it down the line,” Steve says. 

For example, Steve and his team have started using as a standard luxury vinyl tile floor … it’s meant to take a beating. 

“It looks good, like wood, but you can drag a couch across it. The dog can run around on it, and it’s still going to last a long time,” Steve says. 

But everything else is meaningless if you don’t talk about markets. 

The right markets for fourplex investment

A market is where we find tenants … so Steve and the team at FIG are very conscious of the markets they choose to build in. 

“Strategically, we’re looking for population growth. We’re looking for employment. You can get past a lot of things if you have those two things,” Steve says. 

FIG started in Utah in the Salt Lake City metro. Then, they expanded into markets in the Houston metro and into Boise, Idaho. 

Boise has tons of growth with jobs coming in from the Northwest and other less business-friendly states … and the vacancy is really low across the board. 

The team is also moving into the Phoenix metro area. 

For more information on this investment niche, listen in to the full episode!

More From The Real Estate Guys™…

• Sign up for The Real Estate Guys™ Free Newsletter
• Check out all the great free info in our Special Reports library.
• Don’t miss an episode of The Real Estate Guys™ radio show. Subscribe on iTunes or Android or YouTube!
• Stay connected with The Real Estate Guys™ on Facebook,  and our Feedback page.

The Real Estate Guys™ radio show and podcast provides real estate investing news, education, training, and resources to help real estate investors succeed.

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Investing in Houses and Small Multi-Family Properties in Phoenix

One of the most common paths into real estate investing is starting with residential properties … single family and small multi-family. 

To be successful … the secret is picking properties in solid growth markets … and teaming up with a competent and dedicated property manager. 

We’re talking with experts in BOTH investing and property management who work in one of the hottest residential markets in the United States. 

In this episode of The Real Estate Guys™ show, hear from:

• Your invested host, Robert Helms
• His multi-faceted co-host, Russell Gray
• From P. J. Hussey & Associates, Patti Hussey, and Andrew Thruston

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A market with room to run

It seems like it’s harder and harder to find deals … but we’re talking about a market where deals seem to be everywhere … as long as you know where to look. 

Phoenix, Arizona, is a great market for a lot of reasons. 

Phoenix has a great cost of living and lots of things to do. It offers diversity in industries and socioeconomic levels. 

If you look at the data on the best places to raise a family and where rent growth is the strongest, you’ll see cities that are part of the greater Phoenix Metro … like Gilbert, Mesa, and Tempe, Arizona. 

Phoenix is also the distribution hub of the American Southwest … which means a ton of merchandise moves in through its marketplace.

The silver tsunami favors cities like Phoenix that offer retiring baby boomers a warm climate with great medical care. 

If you’re sitting in California and looking for a place to relocate, Phoenix is one of the locations at the top of your mind. 

We’ve been involved in this market for more than 15 years … and it just continues to grow and improve. It continues to be stable … and we continue to see opportunities. 

This is a market with room to run. 

So, what does that mean in terms of specific opportunities for real estate investors?

Perfecting property management in Phoenix

Patti Hussey and Andrew Thruston of P. J. Hussey & Associates have been involved in the Phoenix market for a long time. 

They specialize in a unique part of real estate … property management. They also do construction … everything from rehabs to new builds. 

Their niche is in single family homes as well as small multi-family units of 18, 25, or 50 apartments. 

Patti started out in banking many years ago. But when a friend bought a property and asked her to run it, she thought it was a good idea. 

She found herself in property management … what we consider the most important … and least appreciated … part of real estate as the owner and broker at P. J. Hussey & Associates.

On the other hand, Andrew Thruston grew up in a real estate family … and didn’t want to go into property management. 

“Growing up, I saw how much my mother worked, and I swore it off. But over the course of time, I just saw so many opportunities in the industry to serve other people,” Andrew says. 

By bringing the property management and the construction piece of the investment puzzle under one roof, Patti and Andrew are able to serve investors more wholly. 

Many folks who flip houses are looking to do as little as they can to get the right price and then they move on. 

But when an investor is putting in the work alongside their property management company … you need to be prepared to hold the property for a long time. 

“We try to figure out what are the best improvements that will maximize the rent. That’s our focus,” Patti says. 

In the Phoenix market, some of those common improvements include having laundry in every unit and additional storage options for renters. 

Investors in the Phoenix metro benefit from fair landlord/tenant laws and tenants usually stay at least two years in a property. 

With the migration boom, there are tons of opportunities for growth in the Phoenix metro area. Thousands of apartment units are being built … and thousands more are needed!

But in a competitive market, there are always things to be aware of. Do your due diligence. 

The power of the property manager

The client base at P. J. Hussey & Associates has changed over time … just as Phoenix has changed and grown too. 

For example, in the last several years, positive exchange rates led to a surge of Canadian investors. 

They also work with everyone from large purchasers down to individuals looking to purchase an initial investment property. 

They have also worked with a variety of property sizes and qualities … from D to A … and cover a huge geographic area surrounding Phoenix. 

“One of the things that we have done to be able to manage an area of that size effectively is departmentalize all of our services. This allows experts in each field to focus on what they do best regardless of location,” Andrew says. 

P.J. Hussey & Associates also has technicians and maintenance staff in house instead of contracting out to third parties … helping them to respond quickly when needs arise.

“Without happy tenants paying the rent, we don’t have happy owners. So, we really focus on tenant service and responding promptly,” Andrew says. 

And that’s the hardest part of property management … keeping tenants happy. As an investor, you want to ensure your property manager is treating folks with respect. 

Remember … property managers are the boots on the ground team. They have valuable knowledge to share … so take advantage! 

More From The Real Estate Guys™…

• Sign up for The Real Estate Guys™ Free Newsletter
• Check out all the great free info in our Special Reports library.
• Don’t miss an episode of The Real Estate Guys™ radio show. Subscribe on iTunes or Android or YouTube!
• Stay connected with The Real Estate Guys™ on Facebook,  and our Feedback page.

The Real Estate Guys™ radio show and podcast provides real estate investing news, education, training, and resources to help real estate investors succeed.

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Love the show?  Tell the world!  When you promote the show, you help us attract more great guests for your listening pleasure!

Podcast: Getting Off to a Great Start in the New Year

Podcast: Low Vacancy and No Deferred Maintenance with Build to Rent

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