Senior Housing and Opportunity Zones – A Winning Formula

The only thing better than one investment opportunity … is two investment opportunities!

We’ve talked about senior housing and opportunity zones before … but what happens when you combine the two?

The combined demographics and tax incentives of these investment niches create exciting possibilities!

We sat down with a successful real estate entrepreneur who is putting senior housing and opportunity zones together into a creative … and profitable … investment play. 

Discover how to ride the wave of demand and capital to create a WINNING investment strategy. 

In this episode of The Real Estate Guys™ show, hear from:

  • Your riding-high host, Robert Helms
  • His here-for-the-ride co-host, Russell Gray 
  • CEO of Sage Oak Assisted Living, Loe Hornbuckle
  • Loe’s partner and construction developer, Austin Good

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Opportunity zones sweeten the deal

We’ve been talking a lot lately about opportunity zones … but today we’re going to focus on taking the idea into the real world. 

You may have heard Loe Hornbuckle on our show before. He specializes in senior housing. 

Loe recently began a new project … and discovered that the land was inside an opportunity zone.  

His team began to pay attention to how they could structure the deal around opportunity zone incentives … and he’s here to share what he has learned from the process so far. 

A word of caution before we dive in … be careful about picking an investment purely for the tax breaks and overlooking the real fundamentals of the deal. 

Loe sought out a location that was a good place to do business, fit in his niche, and gave him a unique selling proposition. The opportunity zone just sweetened the deal. 

Prepare for the silver tsunami

Let’s start with the silver tsunami. In a few years, baby boomers will be looking for assisted living … and the industry needs to be prepared. 

But that’s still a ways off. Loe says his average client is 87 years old. The oldest baby boomers are still about 75. 

That means there is time to get in the game and get prepared. 

A lot of times when people talk about senior housing, they’re really talking about active adult communities, independent living, assisted living, dementia care, and skilled nursing facilities all under one umbrella. 

But it’s important to look at each of these areas as its own asset class. 

The type of person that wants to live with other people 55 and up and play golf with their buddies is totally different than a person who may not be able to walk independently anymore. 

And when the baby boomers come looking for senior housing, they’re going to demand things that their predecessors didn’t.

Baby boomers want smaller, more intimate environments where they are around people that are like-minded in some way. 

Maybe they like the same music … or have the same cultural heritage … or even have the same medical condition. 

In Loe’s case, he began Sage Oak Assisted Living and Memory Care in 2015. It’s basically a boutique assisted living and memory care company. 

“What we do is focus on small facilities that are designed to make people feel more comfortable in a homelike environment,” Loe says. 

When most people think of assisted living, they picture a nursing home. But Sage Oak’s facilities are light, airy homes designed for anywhere from 8 to 16 people. 

Loe currently operates five of these locations in Dallas. 

But with the silver tsunami on the horizon, Loe is looking to expand his idea … more beds but preserving the intimate setting. 

For Loe and his team, the answer is raw land development into planned care communities. 

Think of it like a residential neighborhood … but instead of 3000 square foot homes that house single families, these are 9,000 square foot homes designed for 16 seniors. 

These independently owned houses operate as independently licensed facilities … some as assisted living and luxury assisted living and others as dementia care.  

And these houses can be tailored and changed over time to provide the personalized environment residents are looking for … allowing you to operate in any niche you feel the market is lacking. 

Obviously you would never exclude anyone, but you could help them find a house that they are most interested in. 

“One house might be for people with diabetes. Another might be kosher, with a kosher chef and visits from the local rabbi. The house next-door to that one could have a Korean chef and Korean newspapers delivered daily,” Loe says. 

Sage Oak has two such projects underway right now … one in Texas and one in Louisiana. 

A natural partnership

Loe’s partner, Austin Good, hails from the construction development side of real estate. 

Austin is a single family, build-to-rent developer … and that’s essentially what Loe and his team are creating. 

Starting from the ground up in building these campuses offers the advantage of control … controlling the process of creating the campus and controlling the end experience offered to residents. 

And now, the Texas development has the added advantage of being in an opportunity zone. 

“We selected a piece of land in Denton, Texas, to build a campus and discovered it was in an opportunity zone,” Austin says. “So, we had to rework our model a bit.

For example, Austin says they weren’t necessarily looking at a 10 year hold period at the start … but now they are making changes to gain the biggest tax advantages. 

An opportunity zone location also gives Loe and Austin the ability to offer investors a chance at making some money tax free … quite the incentive to come on board!

Senior housing is a natural companion to the opportunity zone structure for a lot of reasons. 

Since opportunity zones are typically in lower income or rural areas, you probably aren’t going to build a luxury hotel there. 

But if you create a reputation as the “go-to” place for senior housing, most people won’t mind driving a bit further … because the outcomes are so much better at your location!

“Our Denton project is about 10 minutes away from the luxury assisted living facilities in the area, so it’s not a difficult pitch for us to say, ‘Drive a few more minutes and be in a more intimate environment with a better caregiver ratio,’” Austin says. 

Another major opportunity zone benefit … access to an untapped workforce of caregivers. 

The number one problem CEOs in the senior housing space are facing is access to good caregivers. 

Opportunity zones located in lower income or more rural areas tap into a workforce that may live too far away to work at other facilities.

Find your winning opportunity

For people who are concerned about taxes and wanting to maximize their return, investing in a niche opportunity zone project can be … well … a great opportunity. 

You still get all the advantages of real estate … like bonus depreciation … and now you can get your capital back. 

It essentially allows you to make a better return on a post tax basis. 

As always, check with your tax professional to find out what will work best for your portfolio. 

And listen in to the full episode for more on how senior housing and opportunity zones can be a winning formula!


More From The Real Estate Guys™…

The Real Estate Guys™ radio show and podcast provides real estate investing news, education, training, and resources to help real estate investors succeed.


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Podcast: Senior Housing and Opportunity Zones – A Winning Formula

It’s said one shortcut to success is investing in the path of progress. When you get in front of a wave of demand and capital, it can take you on a very profitable ride.

And when two powerful forces … demographics and tax incentives … align to attract capital into a specific niche, the possibilities are twice as exciting!

In this episode we revisit two topics we’ve talked about before … senior housing and opportunity zones … with a successful real estate entrepreneur who’s putting both together into one exciting investment play.

So listen in as we explore how senior housing and opportunity zones can be combined to create a winning investment strategy.


More From The Real Estate Guys™…

The Real Estate Guys™ radio show and podcast provides real estate investing news, education, training, and resources to help real estate investors succeed.


Love the show?  Tell the world!  When you promote the show, you help us attract more great guests for your listening pleasure!

State of the Senior Housing Industry

State of the Senior Housing Industry

 

A good investment never gets old. Find tremendous opportunities for growth and CASH FLOW in senior housing.

Senior housing is BOOMING … thank you, Baby Boomers.

The U.S. Census Bureau projects that by 2020 the senior population will reach 56 million. That number grows to 74 million seniors by 2030.

And all those people need safe, social places to live. That’s where investors like you come in.

Review the state of today’s senior housing industry in this special report. You’ll discover:

  • Why small, homelike environments are trending over large facilities
  • Which housing markets are currently underserving seniors
  • What modern seniors value in housing options
  • And more!

Grow your portfolio and serve up smiles to seniors with quality housing.

Get started by filling out the form below to access the State of the Senior Housing Industry …

Think like a big dog …

Whether you’re an active real estate investor out there finding and managing deals in your own account …

… or you’re a passive investor looking to invest in someone else’s deals …

… or you’re a syndicator putting together deals on behalf of your passive investors …

… it can be smart to think like a big dog.

After all, major players have big research and due diligence budgets.  They hire big brains to study the market and make smart strategic decisions.

YOU can learn a LOT … just by watching what they’re doing.

Sometimes you can get in front of a big wave they’re about to create and ride it.

And sometimes you can front run them … buying what they want BEFORE they get there … selling to them at a premium when they arrive.

(We think there could be a particularly good opportunity to get in position to do this in the residential assisted living space right now.)

So even though you can’t play at their level, you can still get in the game by paying attention and being more nimble.

For example, this headline caught our attention …

Apollo is Targeting $1 Billion for U.S. Real Estate Fund Bloomberg 11/20/18

Apollo Global Management LLC has started talking to investors about its third U.S. real estate fund …

Hmmmm … $ 1 billion is a chunk of change.  And apparently it’s not their first rodeo.

In fact, Apollo has been around since 1990 and has over $270 billion under management.

Not that we’re promoting or vouching for them.  We’re just saying it seems like they’re qualified to have an opinion about investing.

So back to the article …

“Investment will be in senior housing, hotels, retail”

A little deeper down we discover … in addition to these three … Apollo is also into industrial real estate and manufactured housing.

Of course, this doesn’t come as a big surprise to us or our long-time followers.

We’ve been paying attention to sub-niches in senior housinghotelsretail,industrial and manufactured housing for quite some time.

But even though it’s affirming to have a big dog like Apollo see what we see … it’s not like we’re geniuses.

The clues in the news, trends, data, and our discussions with our boots-on-the-ground contributors make it easy to see the opportunities.

Of course, seeing the opportunity and knowing someone in the space … is just the beginning.

It’s also important to think about your personal investment philosophy … build great relationships with a solid team … and structure things to endure in both good times and bad.

Recently, the wild ride in the stock market is reminding 401k owners how fickle paper equity can be.

It’s no surprise smart fund managers are looking to real estate as a way to find high risk-adjusted returns … and stability in a volatile world.

Right now, we’re watching Wall Street investors race each other to the exits … leaving a flood of red in their wake.

And while history doesn’t necessarily repeat itself, it often rhymes.

Remember, after the dotcom bust at the turn of the century … frightened capital found a safe haven in real estate.  It just might be happening again.

For those already there, it could make for a fun ride.

Until next time … good investing!


More From The Real Estate Guys™…

The Real Estate Guys™ radio show and podcast provides real estate investing news, education, training, and resources to help real estate investors succeed.


Love the show?  Tell the world!  When you promote the show, you help us attract more great guests for your listening pleasure!

This is getting old … and that’s good

Even though there are many interesting economic developments to talk about, we’re going to focus on an oldie, but a goodie … senior housing.

National Real Estate Investor just released their latest Seniors Housing Market Study and the headline hints that opportunity in the niche might be … growing old …

“High construction levels are tempering some of the enthusiasm in the seniors housing sector.” 

Although cautionary, it’s hardly doom and gloom compared to this cheery report from Attom Data Solutions …

Foreclosure Starts Increase in 44 Percent of U.S. Markets in July 2018

Or this one …

One in 10 U.S. Properties Seriously Underwater in Q2 2018

Or this one …

U.S. Median Home Price Appreciation Decelerates in Q2 2018 to Slowest Pace in Two Years

BUT, as we’re fond of pointing out, the flip-side of problems are opportunities.

And because real estate is NOT an asset class any more than “Earth” is an asset class, there are lots of niches, sub-niches, and micro-trends to dig into to find deals.

Besides, every time some casual observer scans a scary headline and walks away, it leaves even more opportunity unclaimed for those willing to look a little closer.

So let’s see what we can glean from these articles …

First, the “underwater” report illustrates the point that real estate can’t be an asset class because even a sector as broad as “housing” behaves very differently in different places …

“… the gap between home equity haves and have-nots persists because home price appreciation is certainly not uniform across local markets or even within local markets.”

As long as this is true, there will always be “haves” and “have-nots.”  We’re not sure about you, but we’d prefer to be “haves.”  So that means picking the RIGHT markets.

Of course, “markets” aren’t just geographic.

A market can be a product type … single-family housing, multi-family, mobile homes, student housing, senior housing, medical, office, retail, resort, and on and on.

A market can also be a price-point.  “Low-income” is different than “work-force,” which is different than “executive,” which is different than “luxury.”

Consider this quote from the “appreciation” report …

“Price-per-square foot appreciation accelerates for homes selling above $1 million.

You get the idea.  As you continue to parse real estate into geographic, demographic, and economic niches, sub-niches and localities, you can uncover hidden opportunity.

This kind of analysis is the “work smarter, not harder” alternative to simply looking at hundreds of properties along with all the other deal-hunters.

So with that backdrop, let’s go back to our lead headline about what’s happening in seniors housing …

“Seniors housing has carved out a larger place in investors’ commercial real estate portfolios due to the compelling demographics and a track record as a steady performer in both up and down market cycles.”

BUT …

“… survey indicates a note of caution creeping in because of how much new supply is coming into the market.” 

First, “hint of caution” isn’t “OMG, the sky is falling” … so that’s good.

We’ll just hit one more quote, then look at how to go sub-niche as a way to mitigate the potential negative consequences of “too much supply.”

“…respondents in this year’s survey remain confident in seniors housing’s stable fundamentals.  A majority are optimistic that both occupancies and rents will continue to increase …”

So clearly, there’s a LOT to like about the senior housing space.

Of course, it’s this very bullishness which attracts new development and increased supply.

HOWEVER, there’s an angle to consider … and the hint is that this article is written to, and about, commercial … largely institutional … investors.

To them, senior housing means big buildings … like those featured in this report from the American Seniors Housing Association.

And remember, when big institutional money is looking for yield, they need big institutional properties to buy or build.

But as our good friend Gene Guarino tells us, there’s a sub-niche of the senior housing niche that’s too small for the big players, but plenty big for Main Street real estate investors …

Residential assisted living homes.

RALs are where you take an existing McMansion in a residential neighborhood, make some modifications, bring in a specialized manager,  and house a small group (8-16) of seniors who need assistance with their daily care.

But unlike a regular boarding house, these things cash-flow like CRAZY.

We won’t get into the mechanics of all that now.  You can learn more here.

Our point is this is RALs are a sub-niche where you can ride a demographic wave (boomers’ parents … and eventually boomers themselves), an economic niche (million-dollar plus homes), a hot niche (seniors housing, and especially assisted living) …

… and avoid the challenge of excessive inventory created by big institutional money.

Think about it …

There’s not yet a practical way for institutional money to come in and build large supplies of residential assisted living facilities.  They can only build “big box” facilities.

If and when they overbuild, it will mean the big box facilities will be forced to lower prices to attract residents from each other.

BUT, the big box operator has a BIG, all-or-nothing facility, meaning it can’t easily reduce room count to match demand. They either own and operate the entire big building or they don’t.  There’s no in between.

So over-supply means they’ll need to cut SERVICES in an attempt to preserve profitability.

Contrast this to a RESIDENTIAL operator …

Let’s say you have six of these houses in an area where the big boxes overbuild.

Will YOU feel the price pressure?  Sure.  At least a little bit.

BUT … remember, the senior resident who ends up living in a big box is often a different customer than the one in a residential assisted living home.

Many will pay a premium to live in a home rather than an institution.

So right out of the gate, your sub-niche of the senior demographic is arguably less price-sensitive, and your residential home is a very different value proposition.

But let’s say you do get squeezed and lose a few residents.  If you can’t replace them with profitable residents, you can always sell one of your six homes … into the single-family home market.

After all, it’s not like you’ve got a 125-bed single-purpose property.  In other words, you have a Plan B exit strategy that feeds into a different niche …. home-owners.

It’s MUCH easier for you to navigate the ramifications of an over-build … so you can ride the hot wave with less risk.

Even better, if the big box operators’ profit margins get squeezed, don’t be surprised if they take notice of your high profit margins and make you an offer.

We could go on, but you get the idea.  There are always niches and sub-niches when you’re willing to dig a little deeper.

So when you read headlines about macro-trends, keep in mind opportunity is often micro … and often requires more thought.

In this case, the cautionary headline about over-building serves as an example of how to ride a macro-trend, while avoiding dangers created when big money overcrowds a space.

Until next time … good investing!


More From The Real Estate Guys™…

The Real Estate Guys™ radio show and podcast provides real estate investing news, education, training, and resources to help real estate investors succeed.

Demographics trumps politics …

We’ve been around long enough to see a lot of things come and go … politicians, economic theory … business, social, and investing fads … movements of all kinds …

And the world continues to spin … people work and consume … innovators create … businesses produce … and life goes on.

That’s because there’s one thing underpinning all of it …

People.

And as long as there are people, there will be an economy … and opportunities to grow and produce wealth by serving their needs.

Sure, when times are tough, it’s harder.  Not every business or industry survives. And it’s never a level playing field, so get over it.

The rewards go to the people who are best informed, best connected, and most willing to trust their own judgment and act when others hesitate.

One of the keys to success is anticipating what large sub-groups of people are going to want and need … and getting in position early to meet those needs.

Some uber-smart people like Steve Jobs have a nearly superhuman ability to anticipate future needs, create cutting edge products, and literally invent entirely new industries.

We’re nowhere near that smart.

That’s why we’re just real estate guys and not tech guys.  We’re more like Forrest Gump than Steve Jobs, Mark Zuckerberg, or Jeff Bezos.

But the right real estate is the perfect wealth building vehicle for average people like us.  It’s much more common sense than genius vision.

And real estate investing is primarily based on a very basic understanding of demographics … with a dash or two of economics.

Anyone with even a cursory interest in economics has heard of the baby boomers.  This is the ginormous group of people born between 1946 and 1964.

As the boomers moved through the cycles of life, the businesses which served their needs also BOOMED.  And it’s not over yet.

But as you can tell from their birthdates, the boomers are a little long in the tooth.  It’s no longer rock n’ roll, muscle cars, starter-homes, or mini-vans.

Today, boomers are driving wealth management, healthcare, and leisure industries, to name a few.

So naturally, there’s a lot of opportunity in understanding the boomer demographic … and positioning yourself to profit from meeting their current and coming needs.

So here are some ideas for investors who want to ride what’s left of the boomer wave for the next couple of decades … 

Senior Housing

Obviously, people need places to live.  But as people age, their needs for housing change.  And even in the senior housing niche, there are different sub-sectors to consider.

Long-time listeners know one of our favorite sub-niches in senior housing is residential assisted living.  It’s a space that’s gaining attention, but still has a LOT of opportunity ahead.

In fact, we’re excited to see commercial real estate consulting firm Jones, Lang and LaSalle (JLL) just launched a semi-annual report on senior housing.

They’re responding to growing investor interest in this asset class.

One of the conclusions of their inaugural survey is “the most desirable sub-sector is … independent and assisted living …”

One of our favorite features of this niche is it’s not a fad or discretionary expense.  No matter what happens, people will make caring for the elderly a top priority … which means cash flowing your way.

Thanks to our good friend (and Summit at Sea™ faculty member) Gene Guarino for introducing us to this exciting and profitable niche.

Vacation and Leisure

To no surprise, each year at our annual goal setting workshop we find many people have dreams of traveling and vacationing in their retirement.

Boomers are no different … except they’re retiring right NOW.  AARP’s 2018 Travel Trends report says …

“The percentage of boomers saying they travel to relax and rejuvenate jumped from 38% to 49%.”

“Forty-seven percent plan to travel domestically and internationally.  Top choices for going abroad: the Caribbean/Latin America and Europe.”

“Sixty-two percent of boomers stay in hotels or motels … over staying in private homes … they prefer the amenities, like concierge and room service, offered at a hotel.”

Perhaps obviously, resort properties are another effective way to earn rents from affluent tenants … and a great way to have renters pay for YOUR vacation home.

Best of all, because the tenants aren’t in long-term leases, you can enjoy your beautiful property when it isn’t rented out.  You’ve probably never thought that about your C-class apartment building. 😉

Of course, you need to get the market right, especially when talking about Latin America and the Caribbean.

It’s no secret we’ve been … and continue to be … enamored of Belize, and the island of Ambergris Caye in particular.

There are lots of reasons why we love Belize, which we discuss on our field trips, but important factors in picking any resort property market are …

  • supply and demand dynamic
  • price to rental income ratios
  • friendliness to foreign ownership (if non-domestic)
  • great property management
  • ease of access (plane flights)
  • safety

When you get the market and property right, resort property is a really fun and profitable niche.

Syndication

Another of our favorite topics is syndication … for good reason.

More than $30 TRILLION in wealth controlled by boomers.  And there’s a HUGE opportunity to help them manage it.

And one of the the biggest need for boomers is to protect their wealth while generating income to live on.

But even with recent increases in interest rates, yields on bank deposits are pathetically low.

And in a rising rate world, bonds can be tricky … because each increase in rates tomorrow means the bonds you buy today lose principal value.

The obvious answer is income property.

The yields are better.  Real estate hedges against inflation. Even prudent use of debt creates very attractive equity growth rates.

The problem is real estate investing is work most boomers don’t want to do.  But that’s where YOU can help … and create a profitable business for yourself

Demographics Trumps Politics and Financial Engineering

While there are certainly some VERY significant dynamics occurring which may dramatically impact the future of money and wealth (things you should absolutely be paying attention to) …

Ultimately, the basic needs and desires of people drive economic activity and opportunity much more profoundly than anything politicians and bankers do.

The bottom line is we think investors who own properties and businesses which serve basic human needs will be best positioned to survive and thrive in virtually any economic environment.

Until next time … good investing!


More From The Real Estate Guys™…

The Real Estate Guys™ radio show and podcast provides real estate investing news, education, training, and resources to help real estate investors succeed.

Residential Assisted Living National Convention – Oct 3-5, 2019

October 3-5, 2019

 

Gene Guarino is an expert we respect in the assisted living space.  We’re THRILLED he’s hosting an entire convention to help investors build successful residential assisted living (RAL) facilities.

As seniors continue to fill a bigger portion of the population pie, the need for senior housing and assistance is growing … and shows no signs of stopping any time soon.

We’re big proponents of catching a ride on this “silver tsunami.”

At this comprehensive conference, you’ll learn:

□ How to virtually guarantee new residents and fill housing spots

□ How to stock and staff your home for the most success

□ In’s and out’s of funding your assisted living business

□ Options for investing in RAL homes as a hands-off investor

And much more!  This event will be jam-packed with workshops, educational sessions and networking to help you build a RAL business that is BIGGER and BETTER than ever before.

Get practical know-how from Gene Guarino … the guy who has trained thousands of people with his proven model for high-quality, high-return assisted living spaces.

Join the fantastic crowd at the RAL National Conference!

October 3-5, 2019

 

Simply fill out the form below for more info … or to register click here now >>