The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note climbed on Wednesday after two straight days of declines, as economic data failed to reinforce recent hopes the U.S. Federal Reserve might pivot to a less hawkish policy stance.
Well, that should have been a wake-up call. The 30-year mortgage rate soared by 24 basis points recently to 6.18%. So the latter now stands at well more than double the 2.65% rate which prevailed just 18 months ago in January 2021, and at the highest level since the tail end of the Great Financial Crisis in 2009.
After a string of steady increases, mortgage rates fell this past week — a mixed blessing for the fragile U.S. economy. The lower rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage is a relief for home shoppers who have been watching rates climb, but it’s also a sign that a recession could very well be around the corner as the market slows.
Mortgage rates dipped further away from 4% this week, following the decline in the 10-year Treasury yield amid intensifying fighting in Ukraine. The rate on the average 30-year fixed home mortgage fell to 3.76%, down from 3.89% a week ago, according to Freddie Mac. A year ago, the 30-year loan rate averaged 3.02%.