The commercial real estate market is showing signs of weakening, demonstrated by the pressures being felt by two of the market’s largest players amid higher rates and tighter financial conditions.
I write about mortgage rates every week, but recently, I’ve heard some sources chattering about what’s called the “real mortgage rate.” In a nutshell, this is the interest rate on mortgages minus the current inflation rate. “With inflation running so high right now, even though mortgage rates have risen, the real mortgage rate is a negative number,” says Kate Wood, home expert at NerdWallet. When the CPI was at 9.1%, for example, “if you had a mortgage with a 5% interest rate, your real mortgage rate is -4.1%,” she says. (See the lowest mortgage rates you can get here.)
Every year, states across the country compete with each other for people and their wealth as millions of Americans move between states. The stakes are large. A growing population for the winners means an increasing tax base, economic growth and investment. For the biggest losers, it means more difficulties in paying down debts, higher taxes and fewer investments for the future.