Both incomes and spending were expected to rise MoM in March and they did with spending rising 1.1% MoM (almost double the 0.6% rise expected) and outpacing the 0.5% MoM rise in incomes. This is the 6th straight month of rising incomes and 3rd straight month of rising spending…
And as the year passes the end of stimmies, the YoY growth in incomes collapses 11.6% (and spending slows to +9.1% YoY)…
Source: Bloomberg
On the income side, private wages rose 12.8% (down from +13.0% last month), and government wages rose 5.4% (down from +5.5% last month)
For the 3rd straight month, the increases in spending outpaced the rise in incomes pushing the savings rate to its lowest since Dec 2013
Source: Bloomberg
Finally, The Fed’s favorite inflation rate – the PCE Deflator – rose by 6.6% YoY (slightly less than the 6.7% YoY expected) but still the highest since Jan 1982 (while the core PCE deflator fell back very modestly from multi-decade highs)…
Source: Bloomberg
No breathing room for The Fed here.
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